All the assets are going down [The last post of the SURVIVAL]
L'Estrange Mr Whinster - Horrific Child (1976) Jean-Pierre Massiera.
RJ Net Music
I've finished the design works. Connection work was ended too. I feel I've finished it well today. But, all the assets are going down.
Sorry that I couldn't talk about this and, now I have opened a new blog 'Financial Research'. But it doesn't mean that I can do market description at the proper time. What I can do is open my ears. The SURVIVAL was stopped without the ending. I left this village for a while. I had to look into this world. The world is changing quickly and there are many stories but, my English is short and slow to talk about it. But, I opened 'Financial Research' to keep my attention on this world.
When I recall the last time of the SURVIVAL, It was certainly a pessimistic time. That was the time when many people worried about the new environment we faced. But FED did it well. They didn't raise interest rates. And they supplied short money for the Repo market from the last fall. And they said it's not the QE. But people thought it was a QE when they think about the amount of money. So the money market went up to the top.
I expected QE at the last posts of the SURVIVAL. And I expected gold would be better than stock. But it was wrong. The profits of companies in the USA weren't increased except for the big 5 companies. They took all the profits in the USA. And this is what all the people expect as our future. Truly many people say only new tech companies will be good. But the real world wasn't good. Only the money market was good with the housing market because of the low interest rate.
It was wrong because I recommended the gold miner company though I said gold. The company wasn't bad if you sold it a few days ago. Also, my mistake was that I mentioned the ETF for traders in the last post, though I noticed the danger the next day of the top price. But that's all right because there is no one who visits this village.
I feel ETF is very dangerous. People say we can invest with a portfolio via ETFs. But some famous gold mining companies finished a big rise for some years already last year. And if the ETF includes these companies, it can't rise such as gold price. And All ETFs are useful when they rise but, how can we know that time?
I didn't recommend real gold because I don't agree about the end of the world. Then, all the stories on the SURVIVAL were wrong? I don't think so. But I think paper gold is better than real gold until before we face a clear crisis. But anyway, winners were gold and gold ETFs and tech companies this year. And it looks like will not be changed if FED supplies money for the market.
But, as we know. the virus is destroying money markets now. FED says about the interest rate again. But all these situations look like such as we are going to a bad situation. If it is not true, why FED can't raise the interest rate? Why they can't stop supplying money to the market. This world needs money because we don't have money. Where is it gone?
After the reversal of short and long-term interest rates last year, all people said reception is near. And people said we have one last chance before the reception. But people also said we will be good until the election because Trump will keep our world. Trump may delay it until the next election. But is it the right thing? It's a fake. If this world needs a reception, it has to come. And if it has to come, it has to come now for the next president because all these things are an illusion made by Trump. So, I think this market shock is showing us the truth.
I suggested two scenarios last summer. The first was the Trump scenario. There is no big shock with QE in this scenario. Then, Trump will choose this? Yes, Trump is saying this already to the FED. And all that FED has got is the 1.5% interest rate and QE. But, if FED spends these weapons now to keep high-value stocks, what can they do in a real crisis? I'd like to ask them. Do we have to spend all our weapons only for Trump who loves you? Let's think simply. If China is bad, how can the USA be good? All things are just shows. Everything is just a fake.
FED will not move simply. Trump will say this. 'This is not my fault'. There is no one who takes care of you. We have to face the truth. And then, you may vote for Trump again. We are living in a strange world. There is something that has to be changed in this world. You have to find the truth.
: I will try to continue at the 'Financial Research' about whether gold and big tech companies will go again with FED's support. Of course, there are many possibilities for gold because all the countries will release money and that means a falling value of paper money. But the virus is so strong and the medical system of the USA is so bad. This is a fact. So, be careful. And I will check about what will happen of this fact and about what is right at the next subject of this village with a story that I saw from this world recently.
: As the last post of the SURVIVAL, I'd like to say only bonds didn't get hurt by this virus. And I guess this means it is not a serious danger because people believe in governments. Silver couldn't rise either because it's a matter for Industrial. Anna hasn't come back to this village yet. I am checking now whether this village is giving me only hard work or not. But If I can do it and when I can see it, I will try to start the 'SURVIVAL II' at that time, I guess.
Related :
SURVIVAL : 2019, Hippie Village